Once again, it is time to embarrass myself and predict what will happen in 2021. But unlike most pundits who hope you will forget their previous prognostications, I will review predictions for 2020. 1. The stock market will gain around 5%. Correct (Dow up 6% but S&P up 15%). 2. Bernie Sanders will […]
Pollsters Distorted President Trump’s Support
Just as in 2016, the 2020 polls underestimated President Trump’s support. While polling has become more difficult in the age of cell phones and caller-ID, it is mathematically impossible not to conclude that these polls were either deliberately inaccurate or conducted by incompetents. Polling is based on the mathematical disciplines of statistics and probability. […]
Political Arbitrage Can Soothe Our Polarized Country (Satire)
Do you despise President Trump so much that you are bewildered that he received 63,000,000 votes when you can’t fathom how he received even one? Do you seethe with rage when he threatens to ignore the election results because of “fraudulent” mail-in ballots? Are you apoplectic that the antiquated Electoral College enabled him to […]
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