August 20, 2015 The Presidential race is heating up and the voters are besieged with a plethora of polls and political opinions about what is going to happen. But here is where you will get the truth – at least a 90% probability of the truth. This is because the following statements are not based on wishful thinking but rather an analysis of money, electoral college mathematics and demographic trends. 1. Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee. The reason is simple: Money. She has raised over $100 million, mainly from the Wall Street Welfare State and the pantheistic secular Left. No one else is even close. Bernie Sanders – on of the few decent persons in politics – is going nowhere. His supporters do not despise Clinton and will quickly get on the train when it becomes obvious she will be the nominee. The scandals over classified e-mails and corruption in the Clinton Foundation will seem like background noise to the average voter and most voters think Benghazi is a type of Japanese tree. Democratic elders such as Joe Biden, Al Gore or John Kerry will not jump into the race unless there is a carefully choreographed Hillary exit. This will only occur if … [Read more...]
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The Need for Socially Irresponsible Investing
July 30, 2015 As America becomes more polarized, many citizens are making political statements with their investing. Liberals shun the so-called evil oil companies while there are mutual funds for social conservatives to avoid investing in products such as birth control pills and IUD's. This makes little sense. If you are a political ideologue, you should invest in products you despise. That way, no matter what happens, you'll be happy. For example, let’s say you are outraged by the corporate malfeasance of British Petroleum. It galls you that they reportedly cut corners on worker safety resulting in an explosion that cost 15 workers their lives and polluted the Gulf Coast for years. You can e-mail your complaints to politicians who will use robo software to delete them from their inbox; or you can make the smart move and buy British Petroleum stock. It has been battered so much that it is now paying a generous 6.3% dividend. If the stock continues to decrease, even though you lost a few bucks - you can console yourself with the knowledge that some canned BP executive is in divorce court with his screeching trophy wife who has been humiliated … [Read more...]
A Fourth of July Salute to the Anglo Saxons
We Americans love to celebrate our diversity. We have Columbus Day, St. Patrick’s Day and Martin Luther King Day. Various ethnic groups have parades to honor their culture; and this is fine. But we often forget about the one group to whom we owe our freedom and prosperity – the Anglo Saxons. Tenth century England was a primitive place. It was barely an Iron Age culture, with marauding tribes engaged in internecine struggles among themselves and against the invading Vikings. Illiteracy was the norm. Meanwhile, Japan had established an advanced culture of writing and literature. Thirteenth century China built ships ten times the size of those Columbus used to cross the ocean. The Arab world invented algebra, advanced architecture and a body of literature that delights children to this day. Meanwhile, the English survived by subsistence farming, lived in huts and walked around in clothing that was nothing more than a burlap sack. Yet the people from this small island established global hegemony. Why? Because while other cultures lived under Rule of Men, the English developed Rule of … [Read more...]